Taking the opposite view to EU

I could not help noticing your article of 21 January, 'EU predicts losing meat exports to competition'. The EU forecasts illustrate perfectly the dangers of using mechanistic meat balance methods in predicting exports. The forecasts fly in the face of evidence. This year the EU will export record volumes of pork to Third Countries. It has become self-sufficient in beef and even exports of live sheep and sheep meat are rising fast. Although pork exports could be damaged by a fast rise of the euro against the US dollar, the EU will need to continue exporting some cuts and fifth-quarter products. As for bovine and ovine meat, there is no doubt that the world market is already under-supplied and demand from many developing countries is rising fast. As a practitioner in this field, I am taking the opposite view to these forecasts.

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